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Fun Facts about Miguel Olivo

Trainer - "what's wrong with you?"

Miguel Olivo - "I... I drew a walk today.  DON'T LOOK AT ME!"

More photos » Tom Gannam - AP

Trainer - "what's wrong with you?" Miguel Olivo - "I... I drew a walk today. DON'T LOOK AT ME!"

Part 1

Since 2003, Miguel Olivo has been a semi-regular player, receiving 250-450 plate appearances each year.  During that span, in which he accrued 2578 plate apperances in total, he has walked 87 times.  

Here is a list of players who have walked at least 87 times this year, with their totals in parenthesis:

Albert Pujols (104!)
Adrian Gonzalez (104!)
Adam Dunn (103)
Prince Fielder (93)
Chone Figgins (91)
Marco Scutaro (88)
Chipper Jones (88)
Nick Swisher (88)
Lance Berkman (87)
Carlos Pena (87)

First off, that is a pretty good list of names.  Consider this your daily reminder of why walks are good.

Secondly, the all time single season leader in walks is Barrold Bonds, who had 232 in 04.  For Olivo to match that, given his current pace, he would have to have 6,720 plate appearances or about 12 full seasons worth of play (and that is assuming he gets 500-600 at bats a year). 

The all time career leader in walks is also Barry Bonds, who totaled 2558.  For Olivo to match that, given his current pace, he would have to have 74,095 plate appearances.  In other words, he would have have to play for about 145 more years to match Bonds' career total.

Star-divide

Part 2

Another thing that is interesting about Olivo, is that he also has more home runs in his career (92), than he has walks (his career ISO is actually pretty damn good for a catcher, at .178). 

Consulting the Baseball Databank, NOBODY in the history of the game has been able to manage that feat having at least as many plate appearances as Olivo.  The closest is Tony Armas, who 251 home runs vs. 260 walks in his career.  He was actually a decent hitter, with a career 16.3 Batting Runs according to FanGraphs.

Maybe someone could doublecheck my query, because I can't believe that Olivo is the only one to accomplish this feat. 

Part 3

You can't talk about Miguel Olivio, without mentioning his propencity to swing at pitches out the of the strike zone.  According to FanGraphs, he has swung at over 45% of pitches seen outside of the strike zone.  Considering league average is around 24%, that is an extraordinary number.  

Being a more visual guy myself, I wanted to see the types of pitches he has been swinging at.  So I pulled all of the pitches that Miguel offered at this year, and graphed them out:

Olivo_medium

This is from the catchers point of view.

You can see that he swings at a ton of pitches that are down and away.  However, unlike a true hacker, he doesn't make good contact with those pitches.  Instead, they almost always result in a swinging strike.

Some of those pitches offered at are truly ridiculous.  There is a nice cluster of pitches that are at least 6 inches below the strike zone, and quite a few at least 6 inches above the strike zone. 

That one dot on the bottom was approximately 3.5 feet below the strike zone.  That is so awful, that I thought it must have been a PItch f/x error.  So I checked it, it was supposedly thrown by Ricky Romero on June 5th.  I went to MLB.com, and found the game wrapup:

http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/gameday/index.jsp?gid=2009_06_05_kcamlb_tormlb_1&mode=gameday   

Click on that page, go the section labeled "Wrap" and scroll down.  The click on the second video to the left, and the pitch to Olivo is about 55 seconds into it.  Holy Moly.

Part 4

This one isn't going to be very fun or hilarious.  Instead, I wanted to muse a little about Olivo's career as a player.  For the first few years of his career, his hacktastic ways did not lead to any resemblance of success. From 2003-2007 with the White Sox and Marlins, he never had better than a .303 wOBA and it looked like his career would die out.  

However, since he has joined the Royals, he has turned himself into a pretty decent player.  Yes, he's still not walking at all, and his strikeout rate is abominable; however, he has been able to hit for a lot more power.  Thus, his wOBA's over the past two years are .313 and .322. 

He still isn't lighting the world on fire, but that level of production is actually slightly above average for a catcher.  Indeed, his WAR over the past two years is 2.7, in just under 700 plate appearances.  Considering that league average is about 2 WAR per 600 plate appearances, Olivo has been a slightly above average player over that span.  

Now, I don't know if this level of production is sustainable; however, he has shown that with enough power at a premium position, you can overcome even the worst plate discipline and contact skills.

2 recs  |  Comment 13 comments

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Another fun part about Olivo

Although I haven’t run the numbers in a while:

While he has a strong arm, and throws out his share of runners, any defensive advantage he has there is more than nullified by his historic inability to block wild pitches and passed balls.

I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.

Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.

by devil_fingers on Sep 13, 2009 5:11 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

The gameday pic of that pitch is amazing.

It never makes it to the plate and instead dives through the thin computer-turf and into the black abyss beneath.

"Of course Kolby Rasmus was going deep! That’s what Kolby Rasmus does! You don’t give Kolby Rasmus second chances!" -Kolby Rasmus

by hazel on Sep 13, 2009 12:51 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

"Of course Kolby Rasmus was going deep! That’s what Kolby Rasmus does! You don’t give Kolby Rasmus second chances!" -Kolby Rasmus

by hazel on Sep 13, 2009 1:02 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

And furthermore!

"Of course Kolby Rasmus was going deep! That’s what Kolby Rasmus does! You don’t give Kolby Rasmus second chances!" -Kolby Rasmus

by hazel on Sep 13, 2009 1:13 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

How about saving some dots and only show the pitches he took this season :)

Jeff Zimmerman - Protecting the world from RBI's and Wins from my mom's guest house.

by Jeff Zimmerman (TucsonRoyal) on Sep 13, 2009 12:52 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

It symbolizes the struggle of man against his own nature,

and the ultimate futility and nihilism of that struggle.

"Of course Kolby Rasmus was going deep! That’s what Kolby Rasmus does! You don’t give Kolby Rasmus second chances!" -Kolby Rasmus

by hazel on Sep 13, 2009 1:15 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

By reducing a hitter's performance to the basic elements of form, color, and line

the artist is raising questions for the viewer about the nature of our relationship to baseball as “other” analyzing the performance in front of him. The viewer is forced to rethink their own reductionist stance towards baseball as merely being a matter of data to be processed through impersonal means.
Translation; get off the computer in your mom’s basement and actually go to a museum, you blogging non-baseball-art-making nerd!

Albert Pujols does not have "down" years. He has "~6 WAR" years.

by mattybobo on Sep 14, 2009 7:30 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Indeed, the artist's subject betrays his bias,

as he has chosen to portray the proleterian “everyman” and has deigned to denigrate the class struggle deliniated in his previous subject matter. Taken as a pair, the narrative begins to resemble the argument of historical materialism- that of the base and superstructure and the argument of dialectical materialism. This narrative rejects the dualism between the means and the end, and posits the necessity of each piece as an attribute of the other. This interconnectedness is the foundation of the process vs. results argument and the basis of the “dick in a toaster” thought experiment.

"Of course Kolby Rasmus was going deep! That’s what Kolby Rasmus does! You don’t give Kolby Rasmus second chances!" -Kolby Rasmus

by hazel on Sep 14, 2009 12:36 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I still think you have too many dots

Jeff Zimmerman - Protecting the world from RBI's and Wins from my mom's guest house.

by Jeff Zimmerman (TucsonRoyal) on Sep 14, 2009 8:47 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Miguel Olvio, super awesome cleanup hitter.

On the subject of Olivo, the rest of the Royals lineup are quite a bunch. That no one should be surprised by, but after attending the Royals game at Comerica Park Tuesday night, it’s atrocious the amount of porous hitters between their lineup as well as Detroit’s. Of the 18 batters, 10 hitting .250 or lower, and some mediocre on-base percentages as well. I think if the legendary Jose Guillen were in the lineup it would be 11.

You can only have so many Mike Jacobs clones in one lineup and expect to win, I suppose.

by Bryan Everson (The Royalty of Roto) on Sep 17, 2009 12:05 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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